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Prediction for CME (2016-02-05T21:30:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2016-02-05T21:30Z
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-02-11T15:54Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-02-08T21:11Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 0.0%
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:
SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2016-02-05 21:30
Source Longtitude: 67
Source Latitude:  -19
Initial Shock Speed: 400 km/s 
Background Solar Wind Speed: 400 km/s 
Duration Time: 0.22 hrs

Output results:The shock will not reach our Earth!
Lead Time: 88.40 hour(s)
Difference: 66.72 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2016-02-07T23:30Z
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